Managing Volatility in a Way That Matters
Founded during the financial crisis when many emerging-markets stocks were down 40% to 60%, Thornburg’s strategy attempts to create a mechanism to participate in the long-term development of the emerging markets and manage volatility in a way that matters.
Growing Businesses Tied to the Emerging-Markets Consumer Class
We want to own a portfolio of promising, growing businesses that are tied to the growth of the emerging-markets consumer class.
Companies That Can Fund Their Own Growth
We are interested in firms that can fund their own growth without having to turn to external sources, companies that are less likely to suffer permanent loss and impair investors’ capital during times of market crisis.
Countries with Limited External Dependence
Because of the more volatile nature of the asset class, we pay particular attention to the economies in which we invest. We look for countries with positive current account and foreign direct investment numbers — those less reliant on volatile stock and bond flows.
In short, we also look for financially sound, free-cash-flow generative countries with limited external dependence.
A Unique Collaborative Approach to Research
The portfolio is concentrated, with around 50-80 names, and is constructed with collaboration and input from managers and analysts across the entire Thornburg equity team.
A Focused Opportunity Set
We tend to avoid countries and economies with high external dependence, in part to limit the portfolio’s vulnerability to currency devaluations. This cautious approach to investing in countries where we may have some concern is, we believe, more effective than currency hedging.
Three-Basket Style Diversification
We employ Thornburg’s three-basket style diversification construct:
- Basic Value: Companies generally operating in mature industries and which generally exhibit more economic sensitivity and/or higher volatility in earnings and cash flow.
- Consistent Earners: Companies which generally exhibit predictable growth, profitability, cash flow and/or dividends.
- Emerging Franchises: Companies with the potential to grow at an above average rate because of a product or service that is establishing a new market and/or taking share from existing participants.
Diversification by Style, Currency, Market Cap and Geography
- By style, using Thornburg’s basket construct
- By currency, with sensitivity to stability versus volatility
- By market cap, with a significant portion devoted to small-, mid-, and large-cap stocks
- By geography, see the top ten countries under the portfolio tab above